Unia Skierniewice 1-1 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.85
6+ Goals
15%
8.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unia Skierniewice EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 21%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
3.97/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.19
+106% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +41%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unia Skierniewice
1-1
AWAY Kalisz
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Unia Skierniewice vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unia Skierniewice and Kalisz shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Unia Skierniewice at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Unia Skierniewice had 58% of the ball to Kalisz's 42%, shots finished 18-4.

What was the final score of Unia Skierniewice vs Kalisz?

Unia Skierniewice 1-1 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unia Skierniewice vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unia Skierniewice win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Unia Skierniewice 62%, draw 21%, Kalisz 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Unia Skierniewice), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Unia Skierniewice) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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