Fleetwood Town 1-1 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 16 Dec 2024

Fleetwood Town
1-1 HT 0-1
Accrington Stanley
📅16/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stanley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.26
X/2
12%
8.02
X/X
14%
4.99
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
14%
6.06
2/X
5%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fleetwood Town v Accrington Stanley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -17%
1.56/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.56
-55% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
241 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
14.8 Crosses 20.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stanley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.64 xG 1.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
203 Passes 215
62% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.04.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-5 HT 0-2 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
29.10.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
09.04.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
04.12.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 5-1 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
09.11.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
27.02.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1

Fleetwood Town 1-1 Accrington Stanley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
1-1
AWAY Accrington Stanley
1.34 xG 2.68
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
289 Passes 143
68% Pass Accuracy 55%
16 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town and Accrington Stanley couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fleetwood Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 62% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 38%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.34 to 2.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fleetwood Town and 2.33 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stanley?

Fleetwood Town 1-1 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 44%, draw 25%, Accrington Stanley 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✗ BTTS No
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