Talleres Cordoba 1-3 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 16 Dec 2024

📅16/12/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.28
Draw
28%
4.81
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.53
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 32% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
28.0
X/1
18%
3.19
X/2
8%
23.85
X/X
13%
6.71
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
6%
22.1
2/X
9%
29.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
74%
-20.9pp
28%
Draw
18%
+10.4pp
19%
Away Win
8%
+10.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.3pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.45/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.14
-10% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +45%
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
456 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 66%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
19.1 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talleres Cordoba
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.54 xG 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
284 Passes 187
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-1 HT 1-1 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
08.09.2022 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-1 HT 0-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJK
15.06.2022 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
01.03.2022 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 1-2 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
17.07.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 3-2 HT 0-2 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
27.02.2021 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-2 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talleres Cordoba
1-3
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.63 xG 1.97
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
520 Passes 165
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
31 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Talleres Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys got the better of Talleres Cordoba 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Talleres Cordoba at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Talleres Cordoba had 71% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 29%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 0.63 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Talleres Cordoba and 1.67 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Talleres Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys?

Talleres Cordoba 1-3 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talleres Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talleres Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Talleres Cordoba 53%, draw 28%, Newells Old Boys 19%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Talleres Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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