Persik Kediri 1-0 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 16 Dec 2024

📅16/12/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-6.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 42%
-18% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
0.80/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.33
-35% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persik Kediri
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Arema Malang
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
225 Passes 244
27.11.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
17.09.2022 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 0-1 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
27.02.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
19.11.2021 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 2-3 HT 1-3 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persik Kediri vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persik Kediri edged past Arema Malang 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Arema Malang at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Persik Kediri and 1.00 for Arema Malang.

What was the final score of Persik Kediri vs Arema Malang?

Persik Kediri 1-0 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persik Kediri vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Persik Kediri 28%, draw 31%, Arema Malang 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arema Malang), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arema Malang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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