Bristol City U21 3-2 Derby County U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 16 Dec 2025

Bristol City U21
3-2 HT 1-1
Derby County U21
📅16/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League Cup – 2025/2026

Bristol City U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
44%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.38
No
38%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.4pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.9pp
44%
Away Win
33%
+11.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.1pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol City U21 v Derby County U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City U21 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
0.57/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.00
-69% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bristol City U21 vs Derby County U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Derby County U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 8.00
The Meetings
20.10.2025 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 8-2 HT 6-2 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 İNPLK
POST-MATCH Bristol City U21 vs Derby County U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City U21 squeezed past Derby County U21 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Derby County U21 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Bristol City U21 vs Derby County U21?

Bristol City U21 3-2 Derby County U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City U21 vs Derby County U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derby County U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bristol City U21 36%, draw 19%, Derby County U21 44%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Derby County U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derby County U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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