Aurora 3-2 ABB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 16 Dec 2025

Aurora
3-2 HT 2-0
ABB
📅16/12/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.3
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.28
No
43%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
72%
-1.1pp
15%
Draw
16%
-0.8pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
74%
-17.3pp
43%
BTTS No
26%
+17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY ABB EU Bookmakers 16%
-19% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.81/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.66
-19% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
317 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 76%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
23.9 Crosses 11.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
1W-0D-1L
AWAY ABB
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
272 Passes 228
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.07.2025 ABB ABB 1-2 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLPLK
19.07.2025 ABB ABB 2-1 HT 2-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
3-2
AWAY ABB
3.93 xG 0.49
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
388 Passes 238
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
47 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aurora vs ABB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora nicked a narrow win over ABB 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aurora had 61% of the ball to ABB's 39%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 3.93 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aurora's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aurora and 1.50 for ABB.

What was the final score of Aurora vs ABB?

Aurora 3-2 ABB in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs ABB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Aurora 71%, draw 15%, ABB 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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