16/12/2025
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-3
2nd Score
1-2
Somaspor vs Bursaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
16%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
7%
17%
Draw
14%
73%
Away Win
79%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Somaspor v Bursaspor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Somaspor
EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bursaspor
EU Bookmakers 84%
-11% /
-11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-1%
0.72/2.57
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
4.74/0.37
-5%
/
-4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+74%
/
+88%
39%
Ball Possession
61%
7
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
6
173 · 66%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
439 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.6
Yellow Cards
2.0
Somaspor vs Bursaspor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Somaspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Bursaspor
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
53%
Ball Possession
47%
15
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Target
2
4
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
11.12.2022
Somaspor
3-1
HT 1-0
Bursaspor
S2-B
3-1
HT 1-0
Bursaspor
S2-B
POST-MATCH
Somaspor vs Bursaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bursaspor cruised past Somaspor 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bursaspor as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.
What was the final score of Somaspor vs Bursaspor?
Somaspor 0-3 Bursaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Somaspor vs Bursaspor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bursaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Somaspor 10%, draw 17%, Bursaspor 73%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bursaspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bursaspor)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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T2L-K
More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
16 Dec 2025