Barcelona (K) 4-0 Real Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Women's Super Cup, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.46
Over 2.5
54%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.19
No
65%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-15.3pp
18%
Draw
11%
+7.0pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
25%
+20.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
75%
-20.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.6pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3.30 xG 1.27
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
496 Passes 227
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2022 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 5-2 HT 1-1 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) ŞMP-K
22.03.2022 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 1-3 HT 1-0 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona (K)
4-0
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Barcelona (K) vs Real Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) ran out comfortable winners over Real Madrid (K) 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Barcelona (K) had 57% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 43%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Barcelona (K) and 1.50 for Real Madrid (K).

What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Barcelona (K) 4-0 Real Madrid (K) in the Spain - Women's Super Cup on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 67%, draw 18%, Real Madrid (K) 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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