17/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
San Luca vs Igea Virtus Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No Pick
63%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
39%
4-5
28%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
60%
Home Win
87%
18%
Draw
8%
22%
Away Win
5%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Luca v Igea Virtus — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
San Luca
The Market 94%
Head to Head
AWAY
Igea Virtus
The Market 8%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-4% /
-4%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+26%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
13
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
508 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
265 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
San Luca vs Igea Virtus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
San Luca cruised past Igea Virtus 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had San Luca as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (63%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of San Luca vs Igea Virtus?
San Luca 3-0 Igea Virtus in the Italy - Serie D on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Luca vs Igea Virtus?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Luca win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split San Luca 60%, draw 18%, Igea Virtus 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Luca), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (San Luca)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
17 Jan 2024