17/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Siracusa vs Sancataldese Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
51%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Siracusa win — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
59%
Home Win
70%
19%
Draw
18%
22%
Away Win
12%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Siracusa v Sancataldese — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Siracusa
The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sancataldese
The Market 15%
+4% /
+4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-18%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
449 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
343 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Siracusa vs Sancataldese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Siracusa got the better of Sancataldese 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Siracusa as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Siracusa vs Sancataldese?
Siracusa 2-0 Sancataldese in the Italy - Serie D on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Siracusa vs Sancataldese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Siracusa win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Siracusa 59%, draw 19%, Sancataldese 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siracusa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Siracusa)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
17 Jan 2024