Sydney (K) 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 17 Jan 2024

Sydney (K)
1-2 HT 0-1
Central Coast Mariners (K)
📅17/01/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Sydney (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney (K) v Central Coast Mariners (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
3.46/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.37
+10% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +68%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 69%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.0
11.0 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Sydney (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.37 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
228 Passes 252
61% Pass Accuracy 64%
10 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW

Sydney (K) 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
1-2
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.96 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
301 Passes 281
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) squeezed past Sydney (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 51% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 49%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.96 to 1.40.

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Sydney (K) 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 51%, draw 28%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →