Goianesia 1-0 Anapolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Goiano 1, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
45%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goianesia The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Anapolis The Market 51%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+83% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goianesia
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Anapolis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
05.03.2022 Goianesia Goianesia 2-3 HT 0-2 Anapolis Anapolis BRGO1
26.01.2022 Anapolis Anapolis 2-0 HT 2-0 Goianesia Goianesia BRGO1
POST-MATCH Goianesia vs Anapolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goianesia squeezed past Anapolis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Anapolis at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Anapolis led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Goianesia and 2.50 for Anapolis.

What was the final score of Goianesia vs Anapolis?

Goianesia 1-0 Anapolis in the Brazil - Goiano 1 on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goianesia vs Anapolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anapolis win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Goianesia 28%, draw 26%, Anapolis 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Anapolis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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