Treze 0-2 Serra Branca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paraibano, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
44%
4-5
24%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
21%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treze The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Serra Branca The Market 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.58/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+34% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -63%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treze
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Serra Branca
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2023 Treze Treze 3-0 HT 2-0 Serra Branca Serra Branca BRPA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treze
0-2
AWAY Serra Branca
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Treze vs Serra Branca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serra Branca got the better of Treze 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Treze at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Treze had 53% of the ball to Serra Branca's 47%, shots finished 19-9.

What was the final score of Treze vs Serra Branca?

Treze 0-2 Serra Branca in the Brazil - Paraibano on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treze vs Serra Branca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treze win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Treze 41%, draw 24%, Serra Branca 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Treze), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Treze) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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