Primavera SP 2-0 Portuguesa Santista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A2, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
51%
4-5
17%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Primavera SP The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa Santista The Market 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Primavera SP
2-0
AWAY Portuguesa Santista
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Primavera SP vs Portuguesa Santista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Primavera SP beat Portuguesa Santista 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Primavera SP as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Primavera SP had 34% of the ball to Portuguesa Santista's 66%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Primavera SP vs Portuguesa Santista?

Primavera SP 2-0 Portuguesa Santista in the Brazil - Paulista A2 on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Primavera SP vs Portuguesa Santista?

Before kick-off our model rated a Primavera SP win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Primavera SP 46%, draw 24%, Portuguesa Santista 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Primavera SP) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Primavera SP) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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