Cancun FC 3-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
63%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 20%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.38/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.91
-28% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
15.10.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-5 HT 0-2 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
08.04.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
17.08.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
06.01.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-0 HT 2-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
10.11.2021 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
24.03.2021 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC swept aside Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cancun FC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cancun FC and 1.17 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Cancun FC 3-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 61%, draw 22%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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