Sporting Covilha 2-0 Amora FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Amora FC EU Bookmakers 20%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.75/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.80
-58% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
373 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Amora FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 6
17.09.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
2-0
AWAY Amora FC
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Amora FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha saw off Amora FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Covilha as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 39% of the ball to Amora FC's 61%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Amora FC?

Sporting Covilha 2-0 Amora FC in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Amora FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 51%, draw 23%, Amora FC 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Covilha), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Covilha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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