Brechin City 1-4 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 17 Jan 2025

Brechin City
1-4 HT 1-1
Hearts
📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Cup – 2024/2025

Brechin City vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
12.23
Draw
25%
6.26
Away Pick
52%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.61
Over
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
26%
5.62
2-3
34%
2.0
4-5
25%
2.46
6+
15%
5.39
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.62 — our 26% vs market 12.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Hearts win — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
23%
Home Win
5%
+18.4pp
25%
Draw
12%
+13.6pp
52%
Away Win
84%
-31.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brechin City v Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brechin City The Market 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts The Market 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +54%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
223 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Brechin City 1-4 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brechin City
1-4
AWAY Hearts
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brechin City vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts swept aside Brechin City 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Brechin City had 31% of the ball to Hearts's 69%, shots finished 5-16.

What was the final score of Brechin City vs Hearts?

Brechin City 1-4 Hearts in the Scotland - Cup on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brechin City vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Brechin City 23%, draw 25%, Hearts 52%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✓ Over 2.5
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