Liverpool (K) 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+89% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.80 xG 0.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
223 Passes 319
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.02.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
06.01.2019 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
23.09.2018 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool (K)
2-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0.89 xG 0.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
312 Passes 380
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool (K) squeezed past Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Liverpool (K) had 46% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 54%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 0.89 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Liverpool (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Liverpool (K) and 0.67 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Liverpool (K) 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 47%, draw 23%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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