Patro Eisden 4-1 Lokeren-Temse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.36
2-3 Goals
46%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.2
6+ Goals
8%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 28% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.60/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.27
+29% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +124%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.9 Crosses 14.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patro Eisden
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.26 xG 1.05
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 1
170 Passes 334
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
42 Box Touches 12
39 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 6
13.09.2024 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse 2-2 HT 1-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patro Eisden
4-1
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
2.99 xG 1.14
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
174 Passes 425
63% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs Lokeren-Temse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden cruised past Lokeren-Temse 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Patro Eisden as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Patro Eisden had 35% of the ball to Lokeren-Temse's 65%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.99 to 1.14.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs Lokeren-Temse?

Patro Eisden 4-1 Lokeren-Temse in the Belgium - 1st Division on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs Lokeren-Temse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 44%, draw 24%, Lokeren-Temse 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patro Eisden) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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