Persebaya Surabaya 0-2 Malut United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Malut United EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.10/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.01
+27% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Malut United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16.08.2024 Malut United Malut United 0-0 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Malut United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malut United saw off Persebaya Surabaya 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Persebaya Surabaya at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Malut United?

Persebaya Surabaya 0-2 Malut United in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Malut United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 48%, draw 30%, Malut United 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
17 Jan 2025
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