Al Nasr 5-1 Qatar SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC - Qatar UAE Super Cup, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.54
6+ Goals
12%
6.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-12.1pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.3pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Qatar SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr swept aside Qatar SC 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Qatar SC?

Al Nasr 5-1 Qatar SC in the AFC - Qatar UAE Super Cup on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Qatar SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 46%, draw 30%, Qatar SC 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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