Fiorentina (K) 1-1 Genoa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 17 Jan 2026

Fiorentina (K)
1-1 HT 1-0
Genoa (K)
📅17/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2025/2026

Fiorentina (K) vs Genoa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.23
Over 2.5
65%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
77%
-4.2pp
16%
Draw
14%
+2.1pp
10%
Away Win
8%
+2.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina (K) v Genoa (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.83
-6% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -27%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
432 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 75%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
23.3 Crosses 16.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Fiorentina (K) vs Genoa (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Genoa (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
25 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 8
14 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
14.09.2025 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Genoa (K) Genoa (K) İTSKK

Fiorentina (K) 1-1 Genoa (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
1-1
AWAY Genoa (K)
2.20 xG 0.68
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 1
381 Passes 154
80% Pass Accuracy 63%
47 Box Touches 6
43 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Genoa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) and Genoa (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Fiorentina (K) carried 73% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 67% of the ball to Genoa (K)'s 33%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.20 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Genoa (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 1-1 Genoa (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Genoa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 73%, draw 16%, Genoa (K) 10%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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