Flint Mountain 2-1 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 49%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.63/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.38
+141% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Mountain
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mold Alexandra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.02.2025 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain 3-0 HT 2-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
28.12.2024 Mold Alexandra 2-1 HT 1-0 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain GALFAW
POST-MATCH Flint Mountain vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Mountain squeezed past Mold Alexandra 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mold Alexandra at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Flint Mountain and 1.00 for Mold Alexandra.

What was the final score of Flint Mountain vs Mold Alexandra?

Flint Mountain 2-1 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Mountain vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Flint Mountain 29%, draw 21%, Mold Alexandra 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mold Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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