Ismaily 1-2 Wadi Degla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.44
Over 2.5
43%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
6.06
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+9.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
66%
-9.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
34%
+9.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.3pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 53%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-49% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Wadi Degla
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.94 xG 0.98
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
273 Passes 282
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2021 Ismaily Ismaily 0-2 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
05.03.2021 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
19.08.2020 Ismaily Ismaily 1-1 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
05.10.2019 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-1 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
28.04.2015 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 1-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs Wadi Degla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wadi Degla squeezed past Ismaily 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wadi Degla as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wadi Degla led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Ismaily and 0.80 for Wadi Degla.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs Wadi Degla?

Ismaily 1-2 Wadi Degla in the Egypt - League Cup on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Wadi Degla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wadi Degla win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 31%, draw 28%, Wadi Degla 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wadi Degla) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wadi Degla) ✗ Under 2.5
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