Abha vs Al Raed Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Abha v Al Raed — Team-Based Signals
Abha vs Al Raed Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 1-2
Abha
SUUD
1-0
HT 0-0
Al Raed
SUUD
3-1
HT 1-1
Abha
SUUD
2-1
HT 0-1
Al Raed
SUUD
1-0
HT 1-0
Abha
SUUD
1-0
HT 0-0
Al Raed
SUUD
Abha edged past Al Raed 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Abha as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (63%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Abha and 1.50 for Al Raed.
What was the final score of Abha vs Al Raed?
Abha 2-1 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Abha vs Al Raed?
Before kick-off our model rated a Abha win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Abha 44%, draw 26%, Al Raed 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.