Arsenal (K) 3-1 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

Arsenal (K)
3-1 HT 3-0
Manchester United (K)
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2023/2024

Arsenal (K) vs Manchester United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal (K) v Manchester United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -52%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
551 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Arsenal (K) vs Manchester United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.11 xG 0.60
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
505 Passes 223
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2019 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL

Arsenal (K) 3-1 Manchester United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
3-1
AWAY Manchester United (K)
3.01 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
355 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
39 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) beat Manchester United (K) 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 51% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 49%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 3.01 to 1.20.

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Arsenal (K) 3-1 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 54%, draw 22%, Manchester United (K) 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →