Longford Town 2-3 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.20/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.23
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Finn Harps
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
09.06.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
28.04.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
18.03.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
19.11.2021 Finn Harps Finn Harps 5-0 HT 2-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRL
14.08.2021 Longford Town Longford Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Longford Town
2-3
AWAY Finn Harps
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps edged past Longford Town 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Finn Harps made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Longford Town had 49% of the ball to Finn Harps's 51%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Longford Town and 2.17 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Finn Harps?

Longford Town 2-3 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 36%, draw 26%, Finn Harps 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Finn Harps), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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