Basel II 5-1 Luzern II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.14
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.32
No
47%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
72%
-18.4pp
47%
BTTS No
28%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern II EU Bookmakers 43%
-34% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.07/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/2.55
-40% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
382 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Luzern II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
12.08.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 4-1 HT 1-1 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
08.04.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 2-1 HT 1-1 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Basel II vs Luzern II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel II swept aside Luzern II 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Basel II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Luzern II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Basel II and 3.00 for Luzern II.

What was the final score of Basel II vs Luzern II?

Basel II 5-1 Luzern II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel II vs Luzern II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Basel II 40%, draw 24%, Luzern II 36%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basel II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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