Baden 0-1 FC Schaffhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.61
No
58%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 33% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.6pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baden EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.16/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.16
-17% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
24.2 Crosses 10.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baden
0W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.15 xG 1.48
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
428 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-0 HT 2-0 Baden Baden İSV2
01.10.2023 Baden Baden 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baden
0-1
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
0.36 xG 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
7 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Baden vs FC Schaffhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Schaffhausen edged past Baden 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; FC Schaffhausen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Baden had 51% of the ball to FC Schaffhausen's 49%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.36 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Schaffhausen led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Baden and 1.50 for FC Schaffhausen.

What was the final score of Baden vs FC Schaffhausen?

Baden 0-1 FC Schaffhausen in the Switzerland Challenge League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baden vs FC Schaffhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baden win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Baden 39%, draw 25%, FC Schaffhausen 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Baden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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