17/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
San Luca vs Siracusa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
39%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
29%
Home Win
41%
31%
Draw
28%
40%
Away Win
31%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Luca v Siracusa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
San Luca
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Siracusa
The Market 34%
+12% /
+12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+58% /
+58%
1.00/0.69
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/1.00
-17%
/
+56%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+90%
/
+23%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
315 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
212 · 68%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
San Luca vs Siracusa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
San Luca
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Siracusa
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
6.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
San Luca vs Siracusa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
San Luca squeezed past Siracusa 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day San Luca made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
What was the final score of San Luca vs Siracusa?
San Luca 1-0 Siracusa in the Italy - Serie D on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Luca vs Siracusa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Siracusa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Luca 29%, draw 31%, Siracusa 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Siracusa) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Siracusa)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
17 Feb 2024