Tau Altopascio 1-2 Livorno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
40%
4-5
16%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
15%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
57%
-16.1pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.2pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tau Altopascio The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Livorno The Market 23%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.00/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-9% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tau Altopascio
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Livorno
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.10.2023 Livorno Livorno 2-4 Tau Altopascio İTD
POST-MATCH Tau Altopascio vs Livorno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livorno squeezed past Tau Altopascio 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tau Altopascio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tau Altopascio vs Livorno?

Tau Altopascio 1-2 Livorno in the Italy - Serie D on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tau Altopascio vs Livorno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tau Altopascio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tau Altopascio 41%, draw 31%, Livorno 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tau Altopascio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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