Villarreal (K) 1-1 Real Sociedad (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.6pp
33%
Away Win
47%
-13.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
Crosses 5.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal (K)
1-1
AWAY Real Sociedad (K)
0.65 xG 0.55
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
229 Passes 419
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Villarreal (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal (K) and Real Sociedad (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Villarreal (K) had 40% of the ball to Real Sociedad (K)'s 60%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.65 to 0.55.

What was the final score of Villarreal (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Villarreal (K) 1-1 Real Sociedad (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Villarreal (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Sociedad (K) 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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