Nürnberg (K) 1-9 Wolfsburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
12.23
Draw
20%
8.11
Away
60%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.68
Over 2.5
54%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
5%
+14.3pp
20%
Draw
9%
+11.3pp
60%
Away Win
86%
-25.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
24%
+22.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
76%
-22.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.50/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.43
+20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -20%
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
204 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 513 · 85%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
18.0 Crosses 28.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg (K)
1-9
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
0.71 xG 5.93
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 9
128 Passes 394
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
5 Box Touches 48
6 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nürnberg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) ran out comfortable winners over Nürnberg (K) 9-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 9-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nürnberg (K) had 30% of the ball to Wolfsburg (K)'s 70%, shots finished 6-24, expected goals 0.71 to 5.93.

What was the final score of Nürnberg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Nürnberg (K) 1-9 Wolfsburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg (K) 20%, draw 20%, Wolfsburg (K) 60%. The final score 1-9 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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