Karlsruher SC U19 1-0 Bayern München U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.98
Over 2.5
52%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.32
No
51%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
16%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
30%
+18.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
70%
-18.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
72%
-22.6pp
51%
BTTS No
28%
+22.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC U19 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München U19 EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayern München U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
27.08.2023 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 4-3 HT 4-0 Karlsruher SC U19 Karlsruher SC U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC U19
1-0
AWAY Bayern München U19
0.68 xG 1.43
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
150 Passes 403
59% Pass Accuracy 79%
7 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC U19 vs Bayern München U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC U19 edged past Bayern München U19 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Karlsruher SC U19 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Karlsruher SC U19 had 33% of the ball to Bayern München U19's 67%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.68 to 1.43 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bayern München U19.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC U19 vs Bayern München U19?

Karlsruher SC U19 1-0 Bayern München U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC U19 vs Bayern München U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC U19 40%, draw 27%, Bayern München U19 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlsruher SC U19), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karlsruher SC U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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