17/02/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Sagrada Esperança vs Wiliete Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
39%
4-5
28%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
51%
Home Win
61%
23%
Draw
23%
26%
Away Win
16%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sagrada Esperança v Wiliete — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sagrada Esperança
The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY
Wiliete
The Market 19%
+23% /
+23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-18% /
-18%
1.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.60/1.97
-50%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-10%
/
-17%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
444 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
280 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Sagrada Esperança vs Wiliete Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Sagrada Esperança
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Wiliete
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Sagrada Esperança vs Wiliete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sagrada Esperança beat Wiliete 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sagrada Esperança as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Sagrada Esperança vs Wiliete?
Sagrada Esperança 2-0 Wiliete in the Angola - Girebola on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sagrada Esperança vs Wiliete?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sagrada Esperança win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sagrada Esperança 51%, draw 23%, Wiliete 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagrada Esperança), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Sagrada Esperança)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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ANG
More Angola - Girebola
17 Feb 2024