San Lorenzo 2-0 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.95
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.25
X/1
17%
3.7
X/2
10%
8.48
X/X
15%
3.62
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
12%
7.86
2/X
7%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.49/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.12
+4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
24.6 Crosses 14.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.05
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
246 Passes 353
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
30.07.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
26.06.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
11.08.2018 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-2 HT 2-2 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
03.12.2017 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-2 HT 1-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
03.04.2017 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 4-3 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
2-0
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.30 xG 0.31
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
274 Passes 312
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo got the better of Atletico Tigre 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Lorenzo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 47% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 53%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.30 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tigre led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Lorenzo and 1.67 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tigre?

San Lorenzo 2-0 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 44%, draw 27%, Atletico Tigre 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Lorenzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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