Vllaznia Shkoder 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Albania - Süperlig, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No Pick
54%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
44%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
48%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.7pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vllaznia Shkoder The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Egnatia Rrogozhine The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Vllaznia Shkoder vs Egnatia Rrogozhine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vllaznia Shkoder edged past Egnatia Rrogozhine 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vllaznia Shkoder as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Vllaznia Shkoder vs Egnatia Rrogozhine?

Vllaznia Shkoder 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhine in the Albania - Süperlig on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vllaznia Shkoder vs Egnatia Rrogozhine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vllaznia Shkoder win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vllaznia Shkoder 51%, draw 23%, Egnatia Rrogozhine 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vllaznia Shkoder) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vllaznia Shkoder) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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