Al Nasr 1-0 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
56%
-13.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
22%
+11.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 0.87
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 Passes 239
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
10.02.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
15.09.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
25.02.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
16.09.2021 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-0 HT 1-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
04.02.2021 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-1 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr squeezed past Khorfakkan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Nasr and 1.33 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan?

Al Nasr 1-0 Khorfakkan in the UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 42%, draw 23%, Khorfakkan 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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