Royal Antwerp 0-1 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 Feb 2024

Royal Antwerp
0-1 HT 0-0
Mechelen
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Royal Antwerp vs Mechelen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
13%
11.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.25 — our 25% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.0
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.25
X/1
12%
3.8
X/2
8%
10.55
X/X
9%
5.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
22.45
2/2
10%
8.21
2/X
7%
16.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Royal Antwerp v Mechelen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
2.01/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.17
+11% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
355 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 68%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
18.6 Crosses 13.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Royal Antwerp vs Mechelen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mechelen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.17 xG 1.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
428 Passes 339
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-0 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
23.07.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BSK
30.04.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-2 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEK
05.03.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 5-0 HT 3-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
24.07.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 0-2 HT 0-2 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
20.02.2022 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-2 HT 0-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL

Royal Antwerp 0-1 Mechelen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
0-1
AWAY Mechelen
1.70 xG 1.35
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
565 Passes 260
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen nicked a narrow win over Royal Antwerp 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Royal Antwerp carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 65% of the ball to Mechelen's 35%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.70 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Royal Antwerp and 0.50 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Mechelen?

Royal Antwerp 0-1 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 56%, draw 21%, Mechelen 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
17 Feb 2024
18:00 Genk vs RWDM 47 Analysis →
20:15 OH Leuven vs Sporting Charleroi Analysis →