Madureira vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Madureira v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Madureira vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Fluminense
BRC1
0-1
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BRC1
4-1
HT 0-1
Madureira
BRC1
1-2
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BRC1
Madureira 0-1 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense squeezed past Madureira 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 16% / 41% — and on the day Fluminense made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Madureira had 40% of the ball to Fluminense's 60%, shots finished 12-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Madureira and 2.00 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Madureira vs Fluminense?
Madureira 0-1 Fluminense in the Brazil - Carioca 1 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Madureira vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Madureira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Madureira 42%, draw 16%, Fluminense 41%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.