Desportiva ES vs Nova Venécia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Desportiva ES v Nova Venécia — Team-Based Signals
Desportiva ES vs Nova Venécia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Desportiva ES 1-1 Nova Venécia — Actual Match Statistics
Desportiva ES and Nova Venécia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Desportiva ES had 54% of the ball to Nova Venécia's 46%, shots finished 12-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nova Venécia led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Desportiva ES and 2.33 for Nova Venécia.
What was the final score of Desportiva ES vs Nova Venécia?
Desportiva ES 1-1 Nova Venécia in the Brazil - Capixaba on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Desportiva ES vs Nova Venécia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Desportiva ES win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Desportiva ES 39%, draw 32%, Nova Venécia 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Desportiva ES) went the other way.