Gremio vs Santa Cruz RS Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Santa Cruz RS — Team-Based Signals
Gremio 6-2 Santa Cruz RS — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio cruised past Santa Cruz RS 6-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Gremio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gremio had 62% of the ball to Santa Cruz RS's 38%, shots finished 28-8.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Santa Cruz RS?
Gremio 6-2 Santa Cruz RS in the Brazil - Gaucho 1 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Santa Cruz RS?
Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Cruz RS win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gremio 38%, draw 23%, Santa Cruz RS 39%. The final score 6-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.