Gremio Prudente 3-0 Sao Caetano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A3, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over Pick
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
50%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.3pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio Prudente The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Caetano The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Gremio Prudente vs Sao Caetano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gremio Prudente cruised past Sao Caetano 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gremio Prudente as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Gremio Prudente vs Sao Caetano?

Gremio Prudente 3-0 Sao Caetano in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio Prudente vs Sao Caetano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio Prudente win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gremio Prudente 42%, draw 28%, Sao Caetano 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio Prudente), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gremio Prudente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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