17/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-0
Kayanza United vs Tigre Noir Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
17%
Draw
22%
29%
Away Win
16%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kayanza United v Tigre Noir — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kayanza United
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tigre Noir
EU Bookmakers 19%
+22% /
+22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-30%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
405 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
290 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kayanza United vs Tigre Noir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kayanza United saw off Tigre Noir 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kayanza United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Kayanza United vs Tigre Noir?
Kayanza United 2-0 Tigre Noir in the Burundi - League A on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kayanza United vs Tigre Noir?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kayanza United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kayanza United 54%, draw 17%, Tigre Noir 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kayanza United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Kayanza United)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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