Racing De Casablanca 0-1 USM Oujda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.45
Over 2.5
29%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
27%
2.19
No
73%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.6pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.9pp
71%
Under 2.5
65%
+6.1pp
29%
Over 2.5
35%
-6.1pp
27%
BTTS Yes
42%
-14.4pp
73%
BTTS No
58%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing De Casablanca EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.48/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.16
+35% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing De Casablanca
0W-1D-1L
AWAY USM Oujda
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
17.09.2023 USM Oujda 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca FAS2
30.09.2022 USM Oujda 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca FAS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing De Casablanca
0-1
AWAY USM Oujda
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing De Casablanca vs USM Oujda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Oujda squeezed past Racing De Casablanca 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Racing De Casablanca at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (73%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Racing De Casablanca had 61% of the ball to USM Oujda's 39%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, USM Oujda led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Racing De Casablanca and 0.50 for USM Oujda.

What was the final score of Racing De Casablanca vs USM Oujda?

Racing De Casablanca 0-1 USM Oujda in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing De Casablanca vs USM Oujda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing De Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Racing De Casablanca 43%, draw 34%, USM Oujda 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing De Casablanca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing De Casablanca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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