Maghreb Fes 2-3 CR Khemis Zemamra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.59
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY CR Khemis Zemamra EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.19/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.36
-11% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maghreb Fes
0W-3D-0L
AWAY CR Khemis Zemamra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.09.2023 CR Khemis Zemamra CR Khemis Zemamra 1-1 HT 1-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
18.07.2021 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 2-2 HT 1-0 CR Khemis Zemamra CR Khemis Zemamra FAS
24.04.2021 CR Khemis Zemamra CR Khemis Zemamra 1-1 HT 1-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maghreb Fes
2-3
AWAY CR Khemis Zemamra
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maghreb Fes vs CR Khemis Zemamra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CR Khemis Zemamra squeezed past Maghreb Fes 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Maghreb Fes at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maghreb Fes had 71% of the ball to CR Khemis Zemamra's 29%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maghreb Fes and 1.33 for CR Khemis Zemamra.

What was the final score of Maghreb Fes vs CR Khemis Zemamra?

Maghreb Fes 2-3 CR Khemis Zemamra in the Morocco - League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maghreb Fes vs CR Khemis Zemamra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maghreb Fes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Maghreb Fes 43%, draw 27%, CR Khemis Zemamra 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maghreb Fes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAS More Morocco - League
17 Feb 2024
18:00 Olympic Safi vs JS Soualem Analysis →
20:00 Wydad Casablanca vs RSB Berkane Analysis →
22:00 UTS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca Analysis →