Toulouse II 1-1 Bourgoin-Jallieu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 2, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toulouse II The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourgoin-Jallieu The Market 30%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-38% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toulouse II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bourgoin-Jallieu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
15.09.2023 Bourgoin-Jallieu Bourgoin-Jallieu 2-2 HT 1-1 Toulouse II Toulouse II FR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toulouse II
1-1
AWAY Bourgoin-Jallieu
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Toulouse II vs Bourgoin-Jallieu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toulouse II and Bourgoin-Jallieu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Toulouse II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Toulouse II had 41% of the ball to Bourgoin-Jallieu's 59%, shots finished 11-17.

What was the final score of Toulouse II vs Bourgoin-Jallieu?

Toulouse II 1-1 Bourgoin-Jallieu in the France - National League 2 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toulouse II vs Bourgoin-Jallieu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Toulouse II 46%, draw 32%, Bourgoin-Jallieu 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Toulouse II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Toulouse II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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