Saint-Étienne (K) 4-3 Stade de Reims (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.3pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade de Reims (K) EU Bookmakers 38%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+74% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
4-3
AWAY Stade de Reims (K)
3.38 xG 2.55
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
301 Passes 212
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Stade de Reims (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Étienne (K) squeezed past Stade de Reims (K) 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; Saint-Étienne (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 57% of the ball to Stade de Reims (K)'s 43%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 3.38 to 2.55.

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Stade de Reims (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 4-3 Stade de Reims (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Stade de Reims (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Étienne (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 37%, draw 34%, Stade de Reims (K) 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Étienne (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Étienne (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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