Baroka 2-1 Pretoria Callies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pretoria Callies EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.82/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.27
+36% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baroka
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pretoria Callies
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
02.12.2023 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies 2-1 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
29.01.2023 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies 1-1 HT 1-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
14.09.2022 Baroka Baroka 3-1 HT 2-0 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies GAF1
POST-MATCH Baroka vs Pretoria Callies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baroka squeezed past Pretoria Callies 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Baroka as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Baroka and 1.33 for Pretoria Callies.

What was the final score of Baroka vs Pretoria Callies?

Baroka 2-1 Pretoria Callies in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs Pretoria Callies?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Baroka 49%, draw 26%, Pretoria Callies 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baroka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baroka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAF1 More South Afrika - 1st Division
17 Feb 2024
16:30 Black Leopards FC vs Platinum City Rovers Analysis →
16:30 Hungry Lions vs Venda FC Analysis →
16:30 Milford vs Maritzburg United Analysis →