ATK Mohun Bagan 4-2 NorthEast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 17 Feb 2024

ATK Mohun Bagan
4-2 HT 2-1
NorthEast United
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 25% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ATK Mohun Bagan v NorthEast United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 23%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.17/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.44
+2% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
15.8 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
5W-0D-1L
AWAY NorthEast United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.07 xG 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
369 Passes 241
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.12.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-3 HT 1-2 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
24.12.2022 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
10.11.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
12.02.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1 HT 2-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
21.12.2021 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-3 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
09.03.2021 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL

ATK Mohun Bagan 4-2 NorthEast United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
4-2
AWAY NorthEast United
2.29 xG 1.49
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
436 Passes 203
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan got the better of NorthEast United 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 63% of the ball to NorthEast United's 37%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.29 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 1.17 for NorthEast United.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United?

ATK Mohun Bagan 4-2 NorthEast United in the India - Super League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 50%, draw 24%, NorthEast United 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5
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